Monday, November 15, 2010

The Cowboys actually won. Time to overreact.....

So the Jason Garrett era has begun and I would say its begun pretty well. We went from two of the saddest back to back performances in recent history, along with putting together the worst 3 game defensive stretch since 1960 aka our entrance into the league when we went 0-11-1 and were made up of literally the worst players in the league that no one wanted, to knocking off the streaking Giants in their own building. Before I explain how we are going to win the division, lets look at this win realistically. While our offense looked better than it has in a while, honestly the giants don't have much of a pass defense, and we obviously won't be able to pass on everyone like that. But one thing that was overlooked was the play of our offensive line. Kitna had all day to throw throughout the game and because of it he was able to exploit the average Giants secondary. If we can keep blocking like that we will continue to have success offensively. And of course it needs to be mentioned that Dezzy Dizzle is an incredibly disciplined, hard-working, and technically sound player. Oh wait that would be if he was white. Throw in whatever animalistic word you want to describe him, he's incredible. He was the only guy who seemed to care when we were slumping so its fitting that he would have his best game when we are finally getting back on track. Besides his ability to consistently make circus catches and locate the ball, his punt return ability scares punters so much that we are going to be getting +10 yards on every punt because they'd rather kick it short and out of bounds than deep where he can run it back. I think my favorite play of the whole game was on Miles Austin's touchdown where Dezzy was lined up left and had his guy beat on a fade, pulling the safety to his side where Miles could run a post right where he would normally be and make the play. He is just a nightmare to defenses. However on the other hand we had the defense, which, despite playing much more inspired football, actually making a few solid hits, was not great. And the reason for this are the same problems that have plagued us all year: shitty safety play, and little to no pass rush. The good thing is we are actually playing tough against the run again, Bradie James' stop of 4th down was epic, and our corners actually played very well despite the stats. But the reason Eli put up 370 some yards on us was, A. Because he had all day to throw and B. Because our safety's (but mostly Alan Ball) are useless. I was hoping our new defensive coordinator Paul Pasqualoni would add a little pass rush creativity or provide a spark in our d-line seeing as he was the defensive line coordinator, but no same predictable rush. If you watch teams like pittsburgh's defense you see linebackers constantly moving before the snap, while if you watch us, I don't think we ever do. If Garrett is still coaching after this year I really hope he brings in a better coordinator. I really can't say anything bad about our corners, they played tight coverage all day, even Orlando Scandrick made a nice breakup in the end zone and made a great flying tackle in the backfield. And Brian McCann, besides his amazing pick six, was making solid tackles and playing tight coverage too. However, I cannot say the same about Alan Ball. While his interception at the end was nice, he's still got to go. He has absolutely no range at all, and he is the feeblest hitter I've ever seen as a safety. There was one play where someone caught a pass on a post, on which Ball should've been helping, then got held up by the corner lining Ball up perfectly for an epic hit. Instead Ball throws a uninspired shoulder at the guy, which doesn't even knock him down. Then there was the touchdown to Nicks that got called back where Ball's terrible range once again left the corner on an island, and then he got stiff-armed to the ground allowing Nicks to walk into the end zone. On the season Alan ball has 1 pass broken up and before last night no picks. You know who else has 1 pass broken up? Jay Ratliff. I feel like its a problem when our starting safety is as effective as our nose tackle at breaking up passes.

But anyways, in this rare moment of glory, lets explore the possibility of making the playoffs. Obviously we would have to win out, which will be hard but not impossible, the toughest test will probably be the Colts in Indy but they are not nearly as explosive as they once were and if we have a little win streak going it would be entirely possible. But lets say we do win out, do we have a chance at the division title? I think we do. Right now the Giants are 6-3 and we own the tiebreaker, the deadskins are 4-4 and have the tiebreaker, and the shegles are 5-3 and we haven't played. Lets say the skins beat the eagles today making them both 5-4 (its possible they're coming off a bye). We beat the skins by more than 6 points giving us the tiebreaker and giving them 5 losses. They still have to play New York twice, at Tennesee, at jacksonville, vs Tampa and vs minnesota. Lets say they split NY and they'll probably beat Tennesee, although theres not guarentee of that. I think Jacksonville will be streaking and beat them at home and I think Tampa or Minnesota could also beat them. So that gives them 7 or 8 losses and us the tiebreaker. Now we are saying the eagles have lost to the skins and since we won out, beating them twice, they now have 6 losses and with us taking the tiebreaker. They still play the Giants twice, the vikings, the texans and at chicago. Pretending they lose tonight, they play NY at home next week in a must win game and beat the giants. They then go to Chicago and lets say they pull out a win there too. They have the Texans at home on 4 days rest, but they're looking ahead to us the week after because we just beat the New Orleans Saints, they put up a dud vs Houston and lose. Then they lose to us manage to beat the Giants and Vikings before losing to us again in the season finale and losing the division title to us, again. But what about the Giants you say? Lets just take a look at their season last year. They get out to a great start, beat us, Eli's the best quarterback ever, and they're the team to beat in the NFC. And then they slowly but surely unravel, culminating with the hilarious loss to the Panthers in the last game in Giants stadium. Can lightning strike twice? I think it can. Lets look at the specifics. The Giants opened up last year with a 5 game winning streak. Then they got embarrassed by the Saints. This year they had a 5 game winning streak before being embarrassed yesterday by us. Well and by their malfunctioning 1.6 billion dollar stadium. Right now they are flustered, Eli has a Wade Phillips look on his face and they are going into Philly next week. And remember Philly is pissed off because they lost to Washington today. They beat the Giants and now they are freaked out "is it going to happen again?" Yes it is, as Jacksonville comes into New York's joke of a stadium and beat the G-men putting them at 6-5. Then they play the skins at home where lets say they eke out a win. They go to Minnesota, a very losable game, but lets say they win again going to 8-5. They come back to NY again facing a pissed off philly team that just got raped by both texas teams and is now 1 game behind NY playing them in what has been established to be a joke of a stadium. They lose again dropping behind the eagles for the division lead. They then go to Green Bay, and by this point their spirit has been crushed, Tom Coughlin is on the hot seat, they are reliving the nightmare of last year and playing a good Green Bay team in Lambeau in December. They lose, and then, fully crushed, lose to the Deadskins in Washington to finish 8-8 again.

So maybe its not the most likely possibility. But if it happens, I'm a genius.

Monday, November 8, 2010

Wade Phillips is gone. Yay! Now what?

So the up and mainly down Wade Phillips era is officially over, with Jason Garrett taking over as head coach for now. As I assume most Cowboys fan are, I was extremely relieved initially when I heard the news in my Government class, with the parallel of a tumor being removed from a cancer patient coming to mind. However, while this is definitely a step in the right direction, I believe the problem has to be deeper than one bad coach. Jerry Jones said that there will be "changeS" as in plural, as in multiple changes, which leads me to hope he will cut a few players or tell Garrett to bench players, which he will do seeing as he is Jerry Jones' new bitch. This in itself is the problem with our team, Jerry Jones has too much input on what gets done. What Jerry Jones does is attract "stars", bring in stars, build players up to be stars, and pay them like stars all in an attempt to boost his investment. It started in '95 when he brought in Deion Sanders, who was a great player and helped us win a super bowl, but was also a main contributer to the 90s Cowboys downfall. Because Sanders was ridiculously talented enough to slack off at or not show up to practice and still perform well on the field, other less talented players began to follow him. And because they followed Sanders's lead their play deteriorated, and the team's play suffered. The problem I see right now is player's job security. It seems like every player who plays reasonably well for one season gets rewarded with a 6 or 7 year contract now. And while some have deserved it, others have either underachieved completely (Roy Williams) or started to decline after a few years (Marion Barber). As much as I dislike the New England Patriots I recognize their brilliance for how they run their team. Since their first super bowl, the Patriots have had a number of great players walk out in the offseason and sign with other teams for more money. And year after year the Pats come back with great teams, sometimes not as talented as others but always hungry teams, and teams that play together well. Its like in the first super bowl they won, SB 36 I believe, when the St Louis Rams players came out individually and the Patriots came out as a team, and then went on to beat the highly favored, blatantly more talented Rams. In the years after the Rams collapsed after their star players left, rebuilt a little and then collapsed again and are in the process of rebuilding while the Patriots went on to dominate the NFL. The 2010 Cowboys are like the Rams, only with a MUCH worse case of individualism. We are a team of "stars" at virtually every position, but "stars" with no urgency, discipline, or general will to win, so as a team we suck. In terms of players, we need to trade anyone who isn't part of the solution, stockpile draft picks and bring in a bunch of young guys who can push the complacent starters. As a Cowboys fan I was pissed at Nick Collins' hit on Roy Williams and hope he gets fined up the ass, but I also wished someone on our team would do something like that, just to show that were not happy about losing. If we are waiting until we play the Giants to start a fight, make a late hit, generally knock someone out I'm okay with that, but at this point I just want to see some sign of life. Maybe Wade's reaction of "what just happened?" whenever anything goes wrong has rubbed off on the team. I would personally like to see a coach show some emotion after some of the games we've played, and I don't think Garrett is the answer.

But to end on a positive note, lets review why Wade Phillips sucks, and why his firing will help the team. The obvious reason is the team doesn't respond well to his style of coaching, and there is no possible way a change can make us worse. Simply put, we were at rock bottom, and a coaching change can do nothing but help. One testament to Phillip's failure as a coach is how his team has come out after bye weeks. This year we had our one victory over Houston going into the bye. In what should have been the start of a winnings streak, we instead came out with probably the worst opening defensive performance I've ever seen against Tennessee as Vince Young effortlessly moved down the field by throwing up jump balls that were either caught or drew pass interferences every time. Or we can go back to the '07 playoffs when we had a extra week before playing the Giants, who had been winning on the strength of their defensive line, and yet Phillips could not come up with an answer, as the Giants D-line clobbered Romo all day and beat us 21-17. But I think the worst thing about Wade Phillips, and it has been specifically this season, is his defense and specifically its predictability. Defense, especially 3-4 defense, was supposed to be Phillip's speciality, which is why I wanted us to get him after Parcells left. What I heard was that Phillips was good at disguising blitzes, and could get pressure from different positions. While that was true his first two seasons when we got sacks from Jay Ratliff, Bradie JAmes, and Greg Ellis along with dware, who's gonna get 12+ sacks in any system he plays it. But this season it has been all on dware to create pressure. This year our blitzes are ridiculously telegraphed, we bring a bunch of guys to the line, we blitz. I'm pretty sure if I know its coming, a NFL quarterback will be able to read it (the exception being Jon Kitna who reads blitzes like Rain Man reads crossing signals). Also the secondary play has been atrocious, and maybe some of that should be put on Dave Campo, but some of it is definitely Wade's fault, specifically how close to the line the corners play. Last year Mike Jenkins developed into a terrific corner once he started playing bump and run coverage consistently. This year it seems like he's always 8-10 yards off the ball, which is okay sometimes, but it seemed like we did it every play against the packers even in 3rd and short situations and goal line situations. Wade simply lacked the ability to make in game adjustments to help us win. So I for one am very happy he's gone. But we're still a long way from being competitive.